Full Truck Alliance Stock Price Patterns
| YMM Stock | USD 9.87 0.13 1.30% |
Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.0134 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.5459 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.78 | Wall Street Target Price 13.249 |
Using Full Truck hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Full Truck Alliance from the perspective of Full Truck response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Full Truck using Full Truck's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Full using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Full Truck's stock price.
Full Truck Short Interest
An investor who is long Full Truck may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Full Truck and may potentially protect profits, hedge Full Truck with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 11.867 | Short Percent 0.0232 | Short Ratio 1.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 20.3 M | 50 Day MA 10.72 |
Full Truck Alliance Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Full Truck's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Full. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Full can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Full Truck Alliance. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Full Truck's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Full Truck.
Full Truck Implied Volatility | 1.12 |
Full Truck's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Full Truck Alliance stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Full Truck's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Full Truck stock will not fluctuate a lot when Full Truck's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Full Truck to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Full because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Full Truck after-hype prediction price | USD 9.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Full contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Full Truck Alliance will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.07% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Full Truck trading at USD 9.87, that is roughly USD 0.006909 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Full Truck's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Full Truck Alliance options at the current volatility level of 1.12%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Full Truck Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Full Truck After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Full Truck at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Full Truck or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Full Truck, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Full Truck Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Full Truck's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Full Truck's historical news coverage. Full Truck's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.96 and 12.22, respectively. We have considered Full Truck's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Full Truck is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Full Truck Alliance is based on 3 months time horizon.
Full Truck Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Full Truck is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Full Truck backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Full Truck, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.65 | 0.26 | 0.17 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.87 | 9.59 | 2.84 |
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Full Truck Hype Timeline
On the 12th of February 2026 Full Truck Alliance is traded for 9.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Full is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.84%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Full Truck is about 508.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.04. About 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.83. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Full Truck Alliance last dividend was issued on the 13th of October 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Full Truck Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Full Truck Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Full Truck's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Full Truck's future price movements. Getting to know how Full Truck's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Full Truck may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APPS | Digital Turbine | (0.39) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.03 | (6.64) | 19.82 | |
| CINT | CiT Inc | (0.04) | 10 per month | 2.82 | 0.03 | 5.51 | (5.14) | 12.99 | |
| DCBO | Docebo Inc | (0.19) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.96 | (3.61) | 9.05 | |
| RSKD | Riskified | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.89 | (2.91) | 13.98 | |
| BMBL | Bumble Inc | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.21 | (5.15) | 15.11 | |
| SPT | Sprout Social | (0.39) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.85 | (7.72) | 15.22 | |
| IBTA | Ibotta | (0.59) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.28 | (5.77) | 33.30 | |
| RDVT | Red Violet | (0.52) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.63 | (4.27) | 15.79 | |
| DJCO | Daily Journal Corp | 8.63 | 11 per month | 3.14 | 0.14 | 4.63 | (4.11) | 20.42 | |
| LYTS | LSI Industries | (1.17) | 5 per month | 1.81 | 0.02 | 3.58 | (3.42) | 18.90 |
Full Truck Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Full price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Full using various technical indicators. When you analyze Full charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Full Truck Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Full Truck stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Full Truck Alliance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Full Truck based on analysis of Full Truck hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Full Truck's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Full Truck's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0116 | 0.0103 | Price To Sales Ratio | 8.41 | 7.99 |
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The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Full Truck Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Full diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Full Truck. Anticipated expansion of Full directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Full Truck data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Dividend Share 1.384 | Earnings Share 0.55 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.108 |
Full Truck Alliance's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Full's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Full Truck's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Full Truck's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Full Truck's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Full Truck is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Full Truck's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.