Full Truck Alliance Stock Price Prediction
| YMM Stock | USD 9.70 0.14 1.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.384 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.12 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.7807 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.6899 | Wall Street Target Price 85.6202 |
Using Full Truck hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Full Truck Alliance from the perspective of Full Truck response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Full Truck Alliance Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Full Truck's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Full. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Full can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Full Truck Alliance. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Full Truck's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Full Truck.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Full Truck to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Full because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Full Truck after-hype prediction price | USD 9.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Full |
Full Truck After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Full Truck at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Full Truck or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Full Truck, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Full Truck Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Full Truck's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Full Truck's historical news coverage. Full Truck's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.27 and 13.13, respectively. We have considered Full Truck's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Full Truck is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Full Truck Alliance is based on 3 months time horizon.
Full Truck Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Full Truck is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Full Truck backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Full Truck, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 3.45 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 16 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.70 | 9.70 | 0.00 |
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Full Truck Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Full Truck Alliance is traded for 9.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Full is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on Full Truck is about 6966.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.72. About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Full Truck was at this time reported as 34.07. The company last dividend was issued on the 4th of April 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Full Truck Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Full Truck Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Full Truck's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Full Truck's future price movements. Getting to know how Full Truck's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Full Truck may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Full Truck Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Full price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Full using various technical indicators. When you analyze Full charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Full Truck Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Full Truck stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Full Truck Alliance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Full Truck based on analysis of Full Truck hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Full Truck's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Full Truck's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 2.84 | 144.27 | 1.01 | 0.96 | PTB Ratio | 1.14 | 1.76 | 1.55 | 1.47 |
Story Coverage note for Full Truck
The number of cover stories for Full Truck depends on current market conditions and Full Truck's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Full Truck is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Full Truck's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Full Truck Short Properties
Full Truck's future price predictability will typically decrease when Full Truck's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Full Truck Alliance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Full Truck's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Full Truck's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.3 B |
Check out Full Truck Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Full Truck. If investors know Full will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Full Truck listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.384 | Earnings Share 0.39 | Revenue Per Share 9.282 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.341 | Return On Assets 0.0232 |
The market value of Full Truck Alliance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Full that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Full Truck's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Full Truck's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Full Truck's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Full Truck's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Full Truck's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Full Truck is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Full Truck's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.