Ally Financial Stock Forward View
| ALLY Stock | USD 42.28 0.68 1.58% |
Ally Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Ally Financial's share price is approaching 46. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ally Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ally Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ally Financial from the perspective of Ally Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ally Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 43.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.71. Ally Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 42.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ally Financial to cross-verify your projections. Ally Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ally price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ally using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ally charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ally Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ally Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 43.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ally Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ally Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ally Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ally Financial | Ally Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ally Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ally Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ally Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.75 and 45.15, respectively. We have considered Ally Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ally Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ally Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.3883 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5691 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0135 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 34.7124 |
Predictive Modules for Ally Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ally Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ally Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ally Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ally Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ally Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ally Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ally Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ally Financial's historical news coverage. Ally Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.49 and 43.89, respectively. We have considered Ally Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ally Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ally Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ally Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ally Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ally Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ally Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
42.28 | 42.19 | 0.21 |
|
Ally Financial Hype Timeline
Ally Financial is presently traded for 42.28. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ally is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 42.19. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Ally Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.28. About 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ally Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.29. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2026. The firm had 310:1 split on the 10th of April 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ally Financial to cross-verify your projections.Ally Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ally Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ally Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Ally Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ally Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MIUFF | Mitsubishi HC Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SLM | SLM Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.30 | (0.01) | 3.45 | (2.84) | 20.19 | |
| NAVI | Navient Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.14 | (4.32) | 24.69 | |
| CACC | Credit Acceptance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.25 | (0.01) | 4.11 | (5.96) | 12.77 | |
| FCFS | FirstCash | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | 0.06 | 2.22 | (2.65) | 7.55 | |
| SYF | Synchrony Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.38 | (0.01) | 2.67 | (3.58) | 12.73 | |
| SEZL | Sezzle Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.45 | 0.01 | 6.39 | (6.55) | 20.68 | |
| OMF | OneMain Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.65 | 0.07 | 2.76 | (2.49) | 10.41 | |
| JSM | Navient SR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.54 | 0.08 | 1.07 | (0.98) | 3.31 | |
| ATLC | Atlanticus Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.64 | (5.57) | 14.61 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ally Financial
For every potential investor in Ally, whether a beginner or expert, Ally Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ally Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ally. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ally Financial's price trends.Ally Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ally Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ally Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ally Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ally Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ally Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ally Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ally Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ally Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ally Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ally Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ally Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ally stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.85 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ally Financial
The number of cover stories for Ally Financial depends on current market conditions and Ally Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ally Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ally Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Ally Financial Short Properties
Ally Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ally Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ally Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ally Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ally Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 314.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10 B |
Additional Tools for Ally Stock Analysis
When running Ally Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ally Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ally Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ally Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ally Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ally Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ally Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.