BOK Financial Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BOKF Stock | USD 129.94 0.60 0.46% |
BOK Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BOK Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of BOK Financial's stock price is roughly 64 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 1st of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling BOK, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.361 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.0672 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.6867 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.1025 | Wall Street Target Price 135.3 |
Using BOK Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BOK Financial from the perspective of BOK Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BOK Financial using BOK Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BOK using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BOK Financial's stock price.
BOK Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in BOK Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards BOK. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of BOK Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 107.1071 | Short Percent 0.1292 | Short Ratio 9.55 | Shares Short Prior Month 3 M | 50 Day MA 119.9776 |
BOK Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BOK Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 129.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.98.BOK Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to BOK Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BOK. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BOK can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BOK Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BOK Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BOK Financial.
BOK Financial Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
BOK Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BOK Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BOK Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BOK Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when BOK Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BOK Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 129.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.98. BOK Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 131.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BOK Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BOK contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BOK Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0319% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With BOK Financial trading at USD 129.94, that is roughly USD 0.0414 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BOK Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring BOK Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 BOK Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast BOK Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in BOK Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for BOK Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current BOK Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to BOK Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of BOK Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in BOK. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
BOK Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BOK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BOK using various technical indicators. When you analyze BOK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BOK Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BOK Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 129.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.53, mean absolute percentage error of 4.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BOK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BOK Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BOK Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BOK Financial | BOK Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
BOK Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BOK Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BOK Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 128.50 and 131.38, respectively. We have considered BOK Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BOK Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BOK Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.8471 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.62 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5251 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0127 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 89.98 |
Predictive Modules for BOK Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BOK Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BOK Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BOK Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BOK Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BOK Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BOK Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BOK Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BOK Financial's historical news coverage. BOK Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 116.95 and 132.98, respectively. We have considered BOK Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BOK Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BOK Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
BOK Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BOK Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BOK Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BOK Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.44 | 1.60 | 0.10 | 8 Events / Month | 15 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
129.94 | 131.54 | 1.23 |
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BOK Financial Hype Timeline
BOK Financial is currently traded for 129.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.6, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. BOK is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 131.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 32.36%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 1.23%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on BOK Financial is about 522.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 129.84. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.33 B. Net Income was 523.55 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.17 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BOK Financial to cross-verify your projections.BOK Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BOK Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BOK Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how BOK Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BOK Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for BOK Financial
For every potential investor in BOK, whether a beginner or expert, BOK Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BOK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BOK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BOK Financial's price trends.View BOK Financial Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BOK Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BOK Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BOK Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BOK Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BOK Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BOK Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of BOK Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BOK Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bok stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8466 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Variance | 2.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7167 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BOK Financial
The number of cover stories for BOK Financial depends on current market conditions and BOK Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BOK Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BOK Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BOK Financial Short Properties
BOK Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when BOK Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BOK Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BOK Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BOK Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BOK Financial to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in BOK Stock please use our How to Invest in BOK Financial guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Can Regional Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does BOK have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BOK Financial. Projected growth potential of BOK fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating BOK Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.361 | Earnings Share 9.17 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.127 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate BOK Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating BOK Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause BOK Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between BOK Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding BOK Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, BOK Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.