Origin Bancorp Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| OBK Stock | 42.18 0.32 0.76% |
Origin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Origin Bancorp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Origin Bancorp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Origin Bancorp fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Origin Bancorp's share price is above 70 as of now. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Origin, making its price go up or down. Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8325 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.696 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.664 | Wall Street Target Price 43.4 |
Using Origin Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Origin Bancorp from the perspective of Origin Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Origin Bancorp using Origin Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Origin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Origin Bancorp's stock price.
Origin Bancorp Short Interest
An investor who is long Origin Bancorp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Origin Bancorp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Origin Bancorp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 35.5913 | Short Percent 0.0107 | Short Ratio 2.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 345.3 K | 50 Day MA 37.4922 |
Origin Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Origin Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Origin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Origin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Origin Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Origin Bancorp Implied Volatility | 0.88 |
Origin Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Origin Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Origin Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Origin Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Origin Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
Origin Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 42.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Origin Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Origin contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Origin Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.055% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Origin Bancorp trading at USD 42.18, that is roughly USD 0.0232 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Origin Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Origin Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Origin Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Origin Bancorp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Origin Bancorp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Origin Bancorp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Origin Bancorp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Origin Bancorp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Origin Bancorp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Origin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Origin Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Origin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Origin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Origin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 24025.17 | 7010.95 |
| Check Origin Bancorp Volatility | Backtest Origin Bancorp | Information Ratio |
Origin Bancorp Trading Date Momentum
| On January 22 2026 Origin Bancorp was traded for 42.18 at the closing time. Highest Origin Bancorp's price during the trading hours was 42.86 and the lowest price during the day was 41.89 . The net volume was 309.8 K. The overall trading history on the 22nd of January did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.66% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Origin Bancorp to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Origin Bancorp
For every potential investor in Origin, whether a beginner or expert, Origin Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Origin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Origin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Origin Bancorp's price trends.Origin Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Origin Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Origin Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Origin Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Origin Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Origin Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Origin Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Origin Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Origin Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Origin Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Origin Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Origin Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting origin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8824 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Variance | 2.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7787 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Origin Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Origin Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Origin Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Origin Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Origin Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Origin Bancorp Short Properties
Origin Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Origin Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Origin Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Origin Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Origin Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Origin Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Origin Stock please use our How to buy in Origin Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Bancorp. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 1.91 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) |
The market value of Origin Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.