Primerica Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

PRI Stock  USD 259.11  0.38  0.15%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Primerica on the next trading day is expected to be 259.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.07. Primerica Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Primerica's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength indicator of Primerica's share price is below 30 as of 6th of January 2026 indicating that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Primerica, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 27

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Primerica's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Primerica, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Primerica's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.314
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
5.5929
EPS Estimate Current Year
22.3438
EPS Estimate Next Year
23.855
Wall Street Target Price
298.3333
Using Primerica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Primerica from the perspective of Primerica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Primerica using Primerica's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Primerica using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Primerica's stock price.

Primerica Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Primerica's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Primerica. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Primerica stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
265.8122
Short Percent
0.0533
Short Ratio
6.67
Shares Short Prior Month
1.2 M
50 Day MA
258.1266

Primerica Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Primerica's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Primerica. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Primerica can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Primerica. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Primerica's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Primerica.

Primerica Implied Volatility

    
  0.41  
Primerica's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Primerica stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Primerica's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Primerica stock will not fluctuate a lot when Primerica's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Primerica on the next trading day is expected to be 259.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.07.

Primerica after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 258.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Primerica to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Primerica Stock please use our How to Invest in Primerica guide.As of now, Primerica's Receivables Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The Primerica's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 57.93, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to (0.39). . The Primerica's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 42.7 M, while Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is projected to decrease to under 356.4 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Primerica Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Primerica's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Primerica's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Primerica stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Primerica's open interest, investors have to compare it to Primerica's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Primerica is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Primerica. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Primerica Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Primerica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Primerica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Primerica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Primerica is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Primerica Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Primerica on the next trading day is expected to be 259.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.00, mean absolute percentage error of 8.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Primerica Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Primerica's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Primerica Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest PrimericaPrimerica Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Primerica Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Primerica's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Primerica's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 258.06 and 260.16, respectively. We have considered Primerica's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
259.11
258.06
Downside
259.11
Expected Value
260.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Primerica stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Primerica stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5215
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1786
MADMean absolute deviation2.0012
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0078
SAESum of the absolute errors118.07
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Primerica price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Primerica. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Primerica

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Primerica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
257.89258.94259.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
233.20278.97280.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
258.63258.98259.34
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
271.48298.33331.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Primerica

For every potential investor in Primerica, whether a beginner or expert, Primerica's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Primerica Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Primerica. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Primerica's price trends.

Primerica Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Primerica stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Primerica could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Primerica by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Primerica Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Primerica's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Primerica's current price.

Primerica Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Primerica stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Primerica shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Primerica stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Primerica entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Primerica Risk Indicators

The analysis of Primerica's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Primerica's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting primerica stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Primerica offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Primerica's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Primerica Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Primerica Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Primerica to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Primerica Stock please use our How to Invest in Primerica guide.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Primerica. If investors know Primerica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Primerica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.314
Dividend Share
4.16
Earnings Share
21.78
Revenue Per Share
101.045
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.081
The market value of Primerica is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Primerica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Primerica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Primerica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Primerica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Primerica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Primerica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Primerica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Primerica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.