Primerica Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| PRI Stock | USD 261.95 2.51 0.97% |
Primerica Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Primerica's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, The relative strength indicator of Primerica's share price is at 51 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Primerica, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.314 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.5929 | EPS Estimate Current Year 22.35 | EPS Estimate Next Year 23.8463 | Wall Street Target Price 298.5 |
Using Primerica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Primerica from the perspective of Primerica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Primerica using Primerica's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Primerica using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Primerica's stock price.
Primerica Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Primerica's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Primerica. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Primerica stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 264.5745 | Short Percent 0.0521 | Short Ratio 5.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 259.0034 |
Primerica Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Primerica on the next trading day is expected to be 261.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 134.56.Primerica Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Primerica's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Primerica. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Primerica can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Primerica. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Primerica's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Primerica.
Primerica Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Primerica's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Primerica stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Primerica's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Primerica stock will not fluctuate a lot when Primerica's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Primerica on the next trading day is expected to be 261.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 134.56. Primerica after-hype prediction price | USD 261.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Primerica | Build AI portfolio with Primerica Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Primerica contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Primerica will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Primerica trading at USD 261.95, that is roughly USD 0.0819 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Primerica's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Primerica options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Primerica Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Primerica's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Primerica's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Primerica stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Primerica's open interest, investors have to compare it to Primerica's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Primerica is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Primerica. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Primerica Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Primerica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Primerica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Primerica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Primerica Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Primerica on the next trading day is expected to be 261.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28, mean absolute percentage error of 7.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 134.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Primerica Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Primerica's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Primerica Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Primerica | Primerica Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Primerica Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Primerica's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Primerica's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 260.92 and 262.99, respectively. We have considered Primerica's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Primerica stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Primerica stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.425 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2806 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0088 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 134.5575 |
Predictive Modules for Primerica
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Primerica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Primerica After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Primerica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Primerica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Primerica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Primerica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Primerica's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Primerica's historical news coverage. Primerica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 260.92 and 262.98, respectively. We have considered Primerica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Primerica is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Primerica is based on 3 months time horizon.
Primerica Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Primerica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Primerica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Primerica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
261.95 | 261.95 | 0.00 |
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Primerica Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Primerica is traded for 261.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Primerica is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 171.67%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Primerica is about 2340.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 261.95. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Primerica was at this time reported as 71.58. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.05. Primerica recorded earning per share (EPS) of 21.77. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Primerica to cross-verify your projections.Primerica Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Primerica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Primerica's future price movements. Getting to know how Primerica's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Primerica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNC | Lincoln National | (0.02) | 8 per month | 1.74 | 0.02 | 2.74 | (3.34) | 8.21 | |
| GL | Globe Life | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.83 | 0.02 | 1.94 | (1.44) | 4.88 | |
| UMBF | UMB Financial | 0.41 | 11 per month | 1.09 | 0.08 | 3.61 | (1.53) | 6.43 | |
| WTFC | Wintrust Financial | (0.75) | 17 per month | 1.17 | 0.11 | 2.62 | (1.57) | 8.80 | |
| XP | Xp Inc | 0.58 | 31 per month | 2.83 | 0.09 | 4.64 | (4.83) | 15.10 | |
| WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | (3.04) | 7 per month | 1.65 | 0.08 | 3.88 | (2.96) | 10.08 | |
| ONB | Old National Bancorp | 0.46 | 10 per month | 1.19 | 0.11 | 2.93 | (1.98) | 7.78 | |
| MARA | Marathon Digital Holdings | (0.07) | 19 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 6.57 | (7.12) | 20.04 | |
| CFG | Citizens Financial Group | 3.23 | 22 per month | 0.89 | 0.17 | 2.80 | (1.80) | 9.61 | |
| BPOP | Popular | (1.03) | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.12 | 2.90 | (2.44) | 6.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for Primerica
For every potential investor in Primerica, whether a beginner or expert, Primerica's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Primerica Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Primerica. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Primerica's price trends.Primerica Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Primerica stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Primerica could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Primerica by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Primerica Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Primerica stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Primerica shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Primerica stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Primerica entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Primerica Risk Indicators
The analysis of Primerica's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Primerica's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting primerica stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8018 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9976 | |||
| Variance | 0.9952 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Primerica
The number of cover stories for Primerica depends on current market conditions and Primerica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Primerica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Primerica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Primerica Short Properties
Primerica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Primerica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Primerica often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Primerica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Primerica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Primerica to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Primerica Stock please use our How to Invest in Primerica guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is there potential for Life & Health Insurance market expansion? Will Primerica introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Primerica. Anticipated expansion of Primerica directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Primerica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.314 | Dividend Share 4.16 | Earnings Share 21.77 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.081 |
Understanding Primerica requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Primerica's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Primerica's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Primerica's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Primerica's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Primerica should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Primerica's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.