Is Triumph Stock a Good Investment?
Triumph Investment Advice | TGI |
- Examine Triumph's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Triumph's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Triumph navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Aerospace & Defense space and any emerging trends that could impact Triumph's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Triumph's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Triumph is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Triumph pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Triumph's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Triumph Group stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Triumph Group is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Excited | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Triumph Stock
Researching Triumph's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.2. Triumph Group recorded a loss per share of 0.16. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2020. The firm had 2:1 split on the 15th of July 2011.
To determine if Triumph is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Triumph's research are outlined below:
| Triumph Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Triumph Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments | |
| Triumph Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Triumph Group Inc Shares Up 2.89 percent on Nov 19 |
Triumph Quarterly Cost Of Revenue |
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Triumph uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Triumph Group. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Triumph's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 7th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 15th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 15th of May 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of March 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Triumph's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Triumph's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-08-07 | 2024-06-30 | -0.05 | -0.06 | -0.01 | 20 | ||
2021-11-09 | 2021-09-30 | 0.09 | 0.1 | 0.01 | 11 | ||
2023-11-07 | 2023-09-30 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 200 | ||
2022-08-03 | 2022-06-30 | 0.1 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 20 | ||
2021-05-20 | 2021-03-31 | 0.08 | 0.1 | 0.02 | 25 | ||
2020-08-04 | 2020-06-30 | -0.22 | -0.19 | 0.03 | 13 | ||
2006-01-27 | 2005-12-31 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.03 | 11 | ||
2003-10-30 | 2003-09-30 | 0.28 | 0.25 | -0.03 | 10 |
Know Triumph's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Triumph is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Triumph Group backward and forwards among themselves. Triumph's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Triumph's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.4 M | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2024-09-30 | 1 M | Healthcare Of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund | 2024-09-30 | 998.9 K | Penn Capital Management Company Llc | 2024-09-30 | 939.4 K | Royce & Associates, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 926.9 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 758.7 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-06-30 | 744.5 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 11.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 6.9 M |
Triumph's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 1.49 B.Market Cap |
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Triumph's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.46 | 0.48 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.07 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.30 | 0.32 | |
| Return On Equity | (4.91) | (4.66) |
Determining Triumph's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Triumph is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Triumph's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Triumph's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate Triumph's management efficiency
Triumph Group has Return on Asset of 0.0498 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0498 of profit. This is way below average. Triumph's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Triumph manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of now, Triumph's Return On Tangible Assets are increasing as compared to previous years. The Triumph's current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to 0.09, while Return On Equity is forecasted to increase to (4.66). As of now, Triumph's Total Current Assets are decreasing as compared to previous years. The Triumph's current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to 0.48, while Other Current Assets are projected to decrease to under 15.8 M.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | (1.41) | (1.34) | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | (9.17) | (9.63) | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 14.27 | 14.99 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | (10.40) | (9.88) | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 14.27 | 14.99 | |
| Price Fair Value | (10.40) | (9.88) | |
| Enterprise Value | 212.6 M | 167.9 M |
At Triumph Group, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Beta 2.485 |
Basic technical analysis of Triumph Stock
As of the 24th of November, Triumph has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1187, semi deviation of 2.26, and Coefficient Of Variation of 694.12. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Triumph Group, as well as the relationship between them.Triumph's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Triumph insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Triumph's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Triumph insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Triumph's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Triumph issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Triumph Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Triumph bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Triumph Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| Boeing Co 2196 Corp BondUS097023DG73 | View | |
| TRTN 315 15 JUN 31 Corp BondUS89680YAC93 | View | |
| TRTN 205 15 APR 26 Corp BondUS89680YAA38 | View | |
| HSBC Holdings PLC Corp BondUS404280DR76 | View | |
| TGI 9 15 MAR 28 Corp BondUS896818AU56 | View | |
| Trivium Packaging 55 Corp BondUS89686QAA40 | View | |
| Trivium Packaging Finance Corp BondUS89686QAB23 | View | |
| TRTN 325 15 MAR 32 Corp BondUS89681LAA08 | View |
Understand Triumph's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Triumph's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1187 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.426 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 694.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.22 | |||
| Variance | 17.82 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1131 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4245 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1756 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.416 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.21) | |||
| Skewness | 2.46 | |||
| Kurtosis | 9.74 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1187 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.426 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 694.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.22 | |||
| Variance | 17.82 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1131 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4245 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1756 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.416 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.21) | |||
| Skewness | 2.46 | |||
| Kurtosis | 9.74 |
Consider Triumph's intraday indicators
Triumph intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Triumph stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Triumph Corporate Filings
8K | 12th of November 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
13A | 8th of November 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
13A | 7th of November 2024 The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 | ViewVerify |
F4 | 3rd of September 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
Triumph Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Triumph that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Triumph media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Triumph internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Triumph data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Triumph news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Triumph relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Triumph's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Triumph alpha.
Triumph Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Triumph can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Triumph Corporate Directors
| William Mansfield | Lead Independent Director | Profile | |
| Larry Spencer | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Daniel Garton | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Paul Bourgon | Independent Director | Profile |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Triumph Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triumph. If investors know Triumph will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Triumph listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | Earnings Share (0.16) | Revenue Per Share 15.722 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.01 | Return On Assets 0.0498 |
The market value of Triumph Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Triumph that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Triumph's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Triumph's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Triumph's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Triumph's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Triumph's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Triumph is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triumph's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.