Natural Grocers By Stock Market Value
| NGVC Stock | USD 26.84 0.98 3.79% |
| Symbol | Natural |
Will Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector continue expanding? Could Natural diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Grocers. Anticipated expansion of Natural directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Natural Grocers data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | Dividend Share 0.46 | Earnings Share 1.88 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
Understanding Natural Grocers by requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Natural's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Natural Grocers' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Natural Grocers' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Natural Grocers' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Natural Grocers should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Natural Grocers' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Natural Grocers 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Natural Grocers' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Natural Grocers.
| 11/19/2025 |
| 02/17/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Natural Grocers on November 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Natural Grocers by or generate 0.0% return on investment in Natural Grocers over 90 days. Natural Grocers is related to or competes with Seneca Foods, John B, Krispy Kreme, Mission Produce, Herbalife Nutrition, KinderCare Learning, and Village Super. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and die... More
Natural Grocers Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Natural Grocers' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Natural Grocers by upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.57 |
Natural Grocers Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Natural Grocers' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Natural Grocers' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Natural Grocers historical prices to predict the future Natural Grocers' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.41) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.55) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natural Grocers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Natural Grocers February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.54) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,110) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Variance | 5.83 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.41) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.55) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.57 | |||
| Skewness | 0.29 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.28) |
Natural Grocers by Backtested Returns
Natural Grocers by has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0914, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0914 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Natural Grocers exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Natural Grocers' Mean Deviation of 1.9, standard deviation of 2.41, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.41, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Natural Grocers' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Natural Grocers is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Natural Grocers by has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to verify Natural Grocers' kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Natural Grocers by performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.63 |
Very good reverse predictability
Natural Grocers by has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Natural Grocers time series from 19th of November 2025 to 3rd of January 2026 and 3rd of January 2026 to 17th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Natural Grocers by price movement. The serial correlation of -0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Natural Grocers price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.63 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.22 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.11 |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Natural Grocers by offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Natural Grocers' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Natural Grocers By Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Natural Grocers By Stock:Check out Natural Grocers Correlation, Natural Grocers Volatility and Natural Grocers Performance module to complement your research on Natural Grocers. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Natural Grocers technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.