First Commonwealth Financial Stock Technical Analysis
| FCF Stock | USD 18.39 0.25 1.34% |
As of the 10th of February, First Commonwealth shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 467.42, downside deviation of 1.2, and Mean Deviation of 1.08. First Commonwealth technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm First Commonwealth treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and expected short fall to decide if First Commonwealth is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 18.39 per share. Given that First Commonwealth has jensen alpha of 0.2329, we urge you to verify First Commonwealth Financial's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
First Commonwealth Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Commonwealth's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.First Commonwealth Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 20.4 | Buy | 6 | Odds |
Most First analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand First stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of First Commonwealth, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to First conference calls.
Can Regional Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does First have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Commonwealth. Market participants price First higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating First Commonwealth demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.229 | Dividend Share 0.54 | Earnings Share 1.47 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.148 |
Understanding First Commonwealth requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects First's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what First Commonwealth's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push First Commonwealth's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Commonwealth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Commonwealth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, First Commonwealth's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
First Commonwealth 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Commonwealth's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Commonwealth.
| 11/12/2025 |
| 02/10/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Commonwealth on November 12, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Commonwealth Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Commonwealth over 90 days. First Commonwealth is related to or competes with Northwest Bancshares, ST Bancorp, Stellar Bancorp, City Holding, First Merchants, Foreign Trade, and 1st Source. First Commonwealth Financial Corporation, a financial holding company, provides various consumer and commercial banking ... More
First Commonwealth Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Commonwealth's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Commonwealth Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1449 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.06 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.34) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.94 |
First Commonwealth Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Commonwealth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Commonwealth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Commonwealth historical prices to predict the future First Commonwealth's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.176 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2329 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1378 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1725 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4221 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Commonwealth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Commonwealth February 10, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.176 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4321 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8633 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 467.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Variance | 2.03 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1449 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2329 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1378 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1725 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4221 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.06 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.34) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7453 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.36) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2925 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.46 |
First Commonwealth Backtested Returns
First Commonwealth appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. First Commonwealth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.18, which denotes the company had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for First Commonwealth Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize First Commonwealth's Coefficient Of Variation of 467.42, mean deviation of 1.08, and Downside Deviation of 1.2 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First Commonwealth holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.7, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Commonwealth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Commonwealth is expected to be smaller as well. Please check First Commonwealth's expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether First Commonwealth's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.84 |
Very good predictability
First Commonwealth Financial has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Commonwealth time series from 12th of November 2025 to 27th of December 2025 and 27th of December 2025 to 10th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Commonwealth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current First Commonwealth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.84 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.88 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.42 |
First Commonwealth technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Commonwealth Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for First Commonwealth across different markets.
About First Commonwealth Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Commonwealth Financial on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Commonwealth Financial based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Commonwealth price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Commonwealth. By analyzing First Commonwealth's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Commonwealth's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Commonwealth specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0322 | 0.0305 | 0.0317 | 0.041 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.52 | 2.46 | 2.38 | 2.05 |
First Commonwealth February 10, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.176 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4321 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8633 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 467.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Variance | 2.03 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1449 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2329 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1378 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1725 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4221 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.06 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.34) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7453 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.36) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2925 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.46 |
First Commonwealth February 10, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 22,374 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.47) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 18.47 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 18.44 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.20) |
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Commonwealth's price analysis, check to measure First Commonwealth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Commonwealth is operating at the current time. Most of First Commonwealth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Commonwealth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Commonwealth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Commonwealth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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