Origin Bancorp Stock Forecast - Relative Strength Index

OBK Stock   40.73  0.27  0.66%   
Origin Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Origin Bancorp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Origin Bancorp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Origin Bancorp fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Origin Bancorp's stock price is about 61. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Origin, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Origin Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Origin Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Origin Bancorp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.8325
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.664
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.95
Wall Street Target Price
43.4
Using Origin Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Origin Bancorp from the perspective of Origin Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Origin Bancorp using Origin Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Origin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Origin Bancorp's stock price.

Origin Bancorp Short Interest

An investor who is long Origin Bancorp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Origin Bancorp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Origin Bancorp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
35.8602
Short Percent
0.0129
Short Ratio
2.26
Shares Short Prior Month
364.2 K
50 Day MA
38.0924

Origin Relative Strength Index

Origin Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Origin Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Origin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Origin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Origin Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Origin Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Origin Bancorp.

Origin Bancorp Implied Volatility

    
  0.78  
Origin Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Origin Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Origin Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Origin Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Origin Bancorp's options are near their expiration.

Origin Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.73  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Origin Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Origin Stock please use our How to buy in Origin Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Origin contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Origin Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0488% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Origin Bancorp trading at USD 40.73, that is roughly USD 0.0199 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Origin Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Origin Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.78%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Origin Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Origin Bancorp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Origin Bancorp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Origin Bancorp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Origin Bancorp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Origin Bancorp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Origin Bancorp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Origin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Origin Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Origin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Origin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Origin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Origin Bancorp has current Relative Strength Index of 61.01.
Check Origin Bancorp VolatilityBacktest Origin BancorpInformation Ratio  

Origin Bancorp Trading Date Momentum

On January 28 2026 Origin Bancorp was traded for  40.73  at the closing time. Highest Origin Bancorp's price during the trading hours was 41.91  and the lowest price during the day was  40.69 . The net volume was 255.6 K. The overall trading history on the 28th of January did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.86% .
Compare Origin Bancorp to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Origin Bancorp

For every potential investor in Origin, whether a beginner or expert, Origin Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Origin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Origin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Origin Bancorp's price trends.

Origin Bancorp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Origin Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Origin Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Origin Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Origin Bancorp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Origin Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Origin Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Origin Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Origin Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Origin Bancorp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Origin Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Origin Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting origin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Origin Bancorp

The number of cover stories for Origin Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Origin Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Origin Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Origin Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
When determining whether Origin Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Origin Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Origin Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Origin Bancorp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Origin Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Origin Stock please use our How to buy in Origin Stock guide.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Bancorp. Anticipated expansion of Origin directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Origin Bancorp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
1.91
Revenue Per Share
10.441
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.18)
Origin Bancorp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Origin's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Origin Bancorp's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Origin Bancorp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Origin Bancorp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Origin Bancorp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Origin Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.