American Coastal Insurance Stock Price Patterns

ACIC Stock  USD 11.05  0.08  0.73%   
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of American Coastal's share price is approaching 40. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling American Coastal, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 40

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of American Coastal's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Coastal Insurance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting American Coastal's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.99
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.485
Wall Street Target Price
14
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.39
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.23)
Using American Coastal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Coastal Insurance from the perspective of American Coastal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Coastal using American Coastal's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Coastal's stock price.

American Coastal Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in American Coastal's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards American. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of American Coastal stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
11.3316
Short Percent
0.0529
Short Ratio
3.72
Shares Short Prior Month
495.7 K
50 Day MA
11.8394

American Coastal Ins Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to American Coastal's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Coastal Insurance. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of American Coastal's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about American Coastal.

American Coastal Implied Volatility

    
  0.78  
American Coastal's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Coastal Insurance stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Coastal's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Coastal stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Coastal's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Coastal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

American Coastal after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current American contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that American Coastal Insurance will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0488% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With American Coastal trading at USD 11.05, that is roughly USD 0.005387 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating American Coastal's daily price movement you should consider acquiring American Coastal Insurance options at the current volatility level of 0.78%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out American Coastal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.789.4311.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.6211.2712.93
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.7414.0015.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.350.370.39
Details

American Coastal After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of American Coastal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Coastal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Coastal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

American Coastal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting American Coastal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Coastal's historical news coverage. American Coastal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.40 and 12.70, respectively. We have considered American Coastal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.05
11.05
After-hype Price
12.70
Upside
American Coastal is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Coastal Ins is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Coastal Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Coastal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Coastal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Coastal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.63
 0.00  
 0.00  
11 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.05
11.05
0.00 
2,717  
Notes

American Coastal Hype Timeline

American Coastal Ins is presently traded for 11.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. American is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Coastal is about 1086.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.05. About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. American Coastal Ins has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.33. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out American Coastal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Coastal Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to American Coastal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Coastal's future price movements. Getting to know how American Coastal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Coastal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DGICADonegal Group A 0.15 12 per month 0.00 (0.05) 1.99 (2.52) 5.10 
AIIAmerican Integrity Insurance(0.23)8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.15 (4.06) 13.77 
HRTGHeritage Insurance Hldgs 0.13 9 per month 2.83  0.05  4.24 (4.89) 19.93 
PRAAPRA Group(0.05)25 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.92 (5.35) 26.01 
GAINGladstone Investment 0.15 10 per month 0.69 (0.04) 1.23 (1.23) 3.47 
GAMGeneral American Investors 0.67 9 per month 0.32  0.11  1.04 (0.83) 2.57 
BWBBridgewater Bancshares(0.31)11 per month 1.28  0.09  3.22 (2.33) 9.97 
UFCSUnited Fire Group 0.38 15 per month 1.06  0.09  2.14 (2.09) 17.21 
SPFISouth Plains Financial 0.46 9 per month 1.13  0.1  2.82 (2.20) 9.14 

American Coastal Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About American Coastal Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of American Coastal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Coastal Insurance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Coastal based on analysis of American Coastal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Coastal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Coastal's related companies.
 2023 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03740.04310.0707
Price To Sales Ratio1.611.952.05

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Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis

When running American Coastal's price analysis, check to measure American Coastal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Coastal is operating at the current time. Most of American Coastal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Coastal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Coastal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Coastal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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