First Commonwealth Financial Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 14.25 16.84 19.43 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 16.23 18.82 21.41 Details

7 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 13.88 15.25 16.93 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.34 0.35 0.35 Details

First Commonwealth After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

First Commonwealth Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

First Commonwealth Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.24	2.59	0.07	0.07	6 Events / Month	3 Events / Month	In about 6 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
19.21	19.14	0.36	835.48   Notes

First Commonwealth Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November First Commonwealth is traded for 19.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. First is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on First Commonwealth is about 830.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.28. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.39. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Commonwealth last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 19th of November 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out First Commonwealth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Commonwealth Related Hype Analysis

First Commonwealth Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of First Commonwealth stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Commonwealth Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Commonwealth based on analysis of First Commonwealth hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for First Commonwealth depends on current market conditions and First Commonwealth's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Commonwealth is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Commonwealth's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

First Commonwealth's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Commonwealth's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Commonwealth Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Commonwealth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Commonwealth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running First Commonwealth's price analysis, check to measure First Commonwealth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Commonwealth is operating at the current time. Most of First Commonwealth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Commonwealth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Commonwealth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Commonwealth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.